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Focus Fusion
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(NEC respondents listed
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| Focus Fusion rating: | t10 | t10 | t3 | t3 | dec | t10 | t10 | t10 | 25% | t3 | dn | 25% | 25% | 10% | 10% | dn | *below | + + | |
| Knowledge on FF: | 6 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 4.1/10 | f.y.i. | |
| Percent influenced by Valone: | 10 | 75 | 50 | 100 | 25 | 50 | 10 | 80 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 30 | 90 | 33 | 90 | 0 | 43% | f.y.i. | |
| FF experiment experience: | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.1/10 | f.y.i. | |
| NEC publish synopsis statement: | y | y | y | y | (n) | (n) | y | y | y | y | (n) | (n) | y | y | y | (n) | 11y;5n | pass | |
| NEC's FF survey results public: | (n) | y | y | (n) | (n) | (n) | y | (n) | y | y | (n) | (n) | y | y | y | (n) | 8y;8n | pass** | |
| FF survey text public: | y | y | y | y | (n) | (n) | y | (n) | y | y | (n) | (n) | (n) | y | y | (n) | 9y;7n | (pass) | |
| OK to publish my FF answers: | y | y | y | y | (n) | y | y | (n) | y | y | (n) | (n) | (n) | y | (n) | (n) | 9y;7n | indiv. |
**Tie goes to "yes" because no "abstain" default was provided. (A flaw in the design of this survey is that a check box (checked = yes) (unchecked = default = implied no) was presented in cases where three options should have been given: yes / no / abstain, with "abstain" being the default. Some of the above "(n)" answers, which are tabulated as "(n)" because no response was given, would most likely have been "abstain", not "no".)
I do not know what financial resources, if any, are presently at the disposal
of the New Energy Congress. A project such as Focus Fusion is certainly
warranted but may require investment in the order of tens of millions of
dollars.
An energy technology evaluation must consider time as well as capital
constraints. This type of fusion is certainly much more promising than
conventional hot fusion, but how could the government possibly be influenced to
shift funding in this direction? It may take years before physicists in this
area would be willing to look at, much less support development in this
direction.
No working prototype of final concept yet; still theory. Very strong recommendations from Tom Valone and James N. Downing, both of whom have strong experience in the field. Mike Johnston, who also has significant understanding of nuclear phenomenon, is not impressed. I'm going for a more conservative stance than I first took.
I have done extensive research on the DPF in graduate school and at Los Alamos. I don't think this technology is as easy or as cheap to develop as indicated; however, it offers much more promise (orders of magnitude) than conventional approaches to fusion energy. The DPF has suffered the same monetary and political fate as many alternative concepts which threaten the status quo.
[no comment]
Although there are important open questions about the technology, it would
represent a big advance over current "steam-engine" type technologies
that are in general use. So even though the technical details have not been
worked out, it would be a good candidate and be worth even a "long
shot" investment.
As several others, I am not at ease to make a recommendation at this stage of
the game, we really need more substantial examination and discussion.
[no comment]
I highly rate [Thomas] Valone's opinion, but there are other technologies out there that I am aware of.
It definitely needs more work and then there is a question of time to develop such a technology and get it into widespread use (assuming it is made viable).
[no comment]
High temperature power generation for a small community application is quite viable, but not as appealing to a larger market as other technologies nearing availability. It still requires a very skilled operator. On/Off/Volume is all the consumer can safely handle.
Focus Fusion sounds great. It would be nice to see it happen. It would be
great to see the prototype reactor. I do not have enough knowledge on Focus
Fusion to give my assessment to merit. However, if independent individuals are
endorsing it, there must be viability.
If the electrical energy coming from Focus Fusion is by the x-rays into a
PhotoVoltaic, it would seem wise to use space grade solar cells that are
designed for use without an atmosphere between them and the sun.
Focus Fusion is a large scale system generating 2MW or more. Our ideal power source would be one that provides 10-15KW and cost effective to provide distributed power to individual homes.
My interest are geared more towards a simple approach something that anyone can make in a garage with parts from the local hardware store. I have an engineering background and this stuff is over my head so I can't say if it would work or not.
An abbreviated listing of "other technologies" suggested by NEC members. "Private" technology mentions are not included here.
(Listed according to confidence level, highest first; on scale of 0 - 10)
Survey results tabulated by Sterling
D. Allan, Nov. 26, 2005
Announced to
NE_Congress, Nov. 26, 2005, pm.
Original ballot archive posted here.
Past last updated November 30, 2005
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